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Strategic Analysis


Why Kim Jong Un Can’t Take Trump’s Hand
Despite Trump’s renewed push for a summit with Kim Jong Un, fundamental differences over North Korea’s nuclear status, Kim’s stronger strategic position, and growing internal pressures in Pyongyang that make another Hanoi too risky are likely to derail renewed diplomacy—ultimately pushing Washington and Pyongyang toward a far more consequential confrontation.
Aug 205 min read


Why South Korea’s Coexistence Policy Could Make War More Likely
South Korea’s pursuit of peace and coexistence with North Korea could increase the risk of conflict if Pyongyang interprets Seoul’s restraint as weakness—underscoring the historical lesson that lasting peace requires credible strength and deterrence.
Aug 194 min read


Why Did Trump Scale Back Military Exercises with South Korea?
Trump’s decision is as much—or more—about his mounting frustration with Seoul as his outreach to Kim Jong Un, with unresolved economic and political disputes increasingly spilling over into the security alliance.
Aug 184 min read


Why Is Kim Jong Un Fortifying the DMZ?
North Korea's expanding fortification of the DMZ is the physical manifestation of Kim Jong Un's "two hostile states" policy while strengthening regime control and military preparedness—ultimately exposing the regime's growing internal fragility.
Jul 243 min read


What the Return of the North Korean Human Rights Act Means for Trump's North Korea Policy
The reintroduced North Korean Human Rights Act signals that the U.S. Congress increasingly views the Kim regime's crimes against humanity—not merely its nuclear program—as a central challenge in U.S. North Korea policy.
Jun 293 min read


Is North Korea Truly the World’s Most Surprising Economic Success Story?
The Wall Street Journal's depiction of North Korea as a surprising economic success story is deeply misleading because it places disproportionate emphasis on Pyongyang's carefully managed image and the regime's growing ties with Russia and China while overlooking the deeper vulnerabilities that continue to undermine its long-term stability.
Jun 105 min read


Is South Korea Taking a Hard Left Turn Against America?
As concerns about the Lee administration continue to grow in Washington, the true character of Lee's "pragmatic diplomacy" will be revealed when the next crisis arrives on the Korean Peninsula.
Jun 83 min read


The Rising Danger of Kim’s Provocations Against South Korea
North Korea is expanding its front-line military posture near the South Korean border as the strategic gap between Pyongyang and Seoul continues to widen, ushering in a more dangerous period of border conflicts and rising provocations
May 192 min read
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